Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 57.703577 65.795194 74.102484 83.234200 92.957006 102.968972 114.027386
2025-12-21 43.858222 55.180160 67.391986 81.397311 96.880450 113.353218 132.087211
2025-12-28 38.551828 51.993480 66.987365 84.656996 104.642687 126.313085 151.363942
2026-01-04 33.722126 48.589797 65.698424 86.349886 110.166783 136.398572 167.122951
2026-01-11 28.713407 44.343522 62.908859 85.849214 112.794861 142.901412 178.581622
2026-01-18 24.578852 40.698102 60.446382 85.388212 115.174632 148.879457 189.233244
2026-01-25 21.519261 38.084536 58.971096 85.870279 118.458966 155.732692 200.739972
2026-02-01 18.395916 35.054739 56.720881 85.194242 120.193435 160.651244 209.908723
2026-02-08 15.929702 32.664271 55.088285 85.114042 122.505964 166.136719 219.641021
2026-02-15 13.460914 29.996383 52.892461 84.161680 123.628000 170.117257 227.537357
2026-02-22 12.007091 28.685526 52.402287 85.295769 127.239211 176.998732 238.786016
2026-03-01 10.827262 27.670771 52.230149 86.774815 131.228741 184.298383 250.503311
2026-03-08 9.037002 25.473935 50.300225 85.892300 132.253240 188.055028 258.088762
2026-03-15 7.236559 22.995539 47.799836 84.125620 132.071096 190.288334 263.820162
2026-03-22 6.890566 23.096948 49.062061 87.425628 138.333767 200.366838 278.917513
2026-03-29 6.212104 22.480019 49.197930 89.152376 142.556378 207.937563 291.007083
2026-04-05 5.130492 20.897669 47.764669 88.642109 143.838472 211.857540 298.681108
2026-04-12 4.194269 19.434441 46.414036 88.172970 145.119720 215.737443 306.277116
2026-04-19 3.540943 18.464260 45.777159 88.663648 147.624641 221.113329 315.669601
2026-04-26 2.788562 17.073964 44.362305 87.975503 148.526339 224.456752 322.567367
2026-05-03 2.225762 16.004687 43.403504 87.893863 150.196673 228.737288 330.589591
2026-05-10 1.643259 14.664903 41.884611 86.924358 150.630481 231.427856 336.640799
2026-05-17 1.368348 14.174242 41.813502 88.078851 153.913856 237.713134 347.102579